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Traditional Markets, Crypto Trim Losses, Moscow Exchange Won’t Open Today as Kyiv and Moscow Start Talks

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Mykolaiv, Ukraine. Source: A video screenshot, Youtube/CNN

 

Bitcoin (BTC), ethereum (ETH), and other major cryptoassets trimmed their losses on Monday morning in Europe, as futures pointed to a lower opening for the stock market on Wall Street, Russian financial assets tumbled, and the US dollar rose against most other fiat currencies. Meanwhile, analysts warned that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could be forced to change course and ease its monetary policy.

Meanwhile, delegations from Kyiv and Moscow are holding discussions at the Ukraine-Belarus border today as Kyiv seeks an immediate ceasefire and the withdrawal of all Russian forces from Ukraine. 

At 11:15 UTC, BTC stood at USD 38,375, down 2.6% for the past 24 hours and standing unchanged for the week. Meanwhile, ETH traded at USD 2,638, down 6.1% for the day and unchanged for the week.

At the same time, US S&P 500 futures pointed to an opening for the important stock index 1.3% lower than Sunday’s closing, as worries grew over the financial fallout from the war in Ukraine and sanctions imposed on Russia.

In Russia, where the stock market fell sharply before the weekend, the early trading session was cancelled on Monday, according to a statement from the Moscow Exchange. As of this writing, the market remains closed, with Russia’s central bank confirming that it will stay that way for the rest of the day. The operating hours for tomorrow should be announced in the morning by 9 AM local time. 

Only Russian stocks trading on overseas exchanges are currently offering a hint of how some major Russian companies are being valued at the moment.

The closure of the Russian stock market comes after the Bank of Russia – Russia’s central bank – said it has ordered professional stock market participants to suspend the execution of all orders by foreign entities.

Perhaps surprisingly, bitcoin, which these days is generally seen as a risk asset correlated with stocks, trimmed some of its losses from the past 24 hours on Monday morning in European trading.

From lows around USD 37,000 seen on Sunday, BTC on Monday morning in Europe traded as high as USD 38,672, up by more than 4% from its low.

“Literal war couldn’t cause a breakdown of BTC below the 33k level,” one popular member of the crypto community wrote on Twitter in response to the relatively strong performance.

SWIFT consequences  

The relatively strong performance for bitcoin also came as speculations intensified that the war in Ukraine could force the Fed to abandon its plans to tighten monetary policy in the US.

According to Credit Suisse strategist Zoltan Pozsar, exclusion of Russia from the global payments system SWIFT will cause “missed payments and giant overdrafts” that can be compared to the beginning of the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. Back then, the major US bank Lehman Brothers found itself unable to meet obligations since clearing banks were not willing to make payments on its behalf.

“Banks’ inability to make payments due to their exclusion from SWIFT is the same as Lehman’s inability to make payments due to its clearing bank’s unwillingness to send payments on its behalf. History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes,” Pozsar wrote, per Reuters.

The strategist added that central banks will need to act to prevent liquidity from drying up in this scenario. That ultimately means the Fed might need to start expanding its balance sheet again, rather than continuing on a tightening path, Pozsar wrote.

However, others disagreed on the impact Russian banking problems will have on the global financial system, with major investment bank JPMorgan strategists led by Mixo Das stressing in a note that Russia and Ukraine make up less than 2% of global GDP. They added that the exposure global banks have to Russia is less than USD 100bn.

“Markets tend to overprice known unknowns and this leads to the typical pattern of ‘buy the fact.’ While the scale of the invasion was worse than feared, the lack of a swift win for Russia likely lowers the likelihood of the conflict spreading,” the strategists wrote in the note, as cited by Bloomberg.

The buying seen in BTC on Monday morning occurred as the US dollar also rose in relation to almost all other fiat currencies on Monday, with the US dollar index (DXY) trading close to its highest level since July 2020.

Not surprisingly, the Russian ruble was hit the worst among fiat currencies today, dropping more than 12% against the US dollar for the day to reach its lowest level ever. The collapse of the ruble comes as some analysts suggested the Russian central bank could become unable to defend its currency in the face of sanctions.

“While not entirely clear as yet exactly what it means in practice, Russia’s central bank (CBR) has been sanctioned with the intention of denying it unfettered access to its ($643bn worth) of [foreign exchange (FX)] reserves. If CBR can’t access reserves, it can’t defend the RUB from free-fall,” Ray Attrill, global head of FX strategy at the National Australia Bank, wrote in a note cited by Bloomberg.

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Learn more:
Despite Recovery, Bitcoin and Cryptos Have More Room to Fall, Say Analysts, Pointing at a Buy Signal
Bitcoin Fundamentals vs. Fundamentals of Geopolitics – Analysts on Ukraine War

With War Starting and Markets Dropping, Questions Multiply About Central Banks’ Policies
Bitcoin Rises with All Eyes on Ukraine, Fed’s Next Move

Ukrainians Paying Tether Premiums as Some Desperate Citizens Ditch Fiat for Crypto
Russians Ditch Ruble, Central Bank Scrambles as Fiat ‘Destruction’ Looms
Russian Rubles Could Become ‘Worthless’ as Allies Target Central Bank After SWIFT Move

Apple Pay and Google Pay to Become Unusable with Cards from Sanctioned Russian Banks
Russian Central Bank Ramps up USD Exchange Rate as Ruble Run Worries Mount



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Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to market risks, and individuals should seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

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dYdX Founder Advises Crypto Industry to Abandon US Customers, Deeming Market Effort Unrewarding

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The founder of the decentralized exchange, dYdX, asserts that individuals involved in cryptocurrency development should direct their efforts toward international markets beyond the United States for the upcoming five to ten years.

Antonio Juliano conveys to his audience of 49,400 on the social media platform X that the prevailing regulatory uncertainty within the United States does not merit the associated challenges or concessions.

Juliano contends that it would be more prudent for cryptocurrency developers to establish their products in alternative countries and subsequently re-enter the United States from a position of strength.

“Cryptocurrency developers would be well-advised to temporarily discontinue catering to the US market and instead seek re-entry in a span of 5-10 years. The complications and compromises involved do not warrant the endeavor. Moreover, a substantial portion of the market exists overseas. It is recommended to innovate in those regions, ascertain product-market fit, and then return with greater bargaining power…

The paramount objective shared among all stakeholders is to secure a significantly more potent product-market fit for cryptocurrency. The pursuit of a robust product-market fit does not necessitate flawless distribution. A multitude of substantial overseas markets present avenues for experimentation.”

Juliano articulates that advocating for more amiable cryptocurrency regulations demands time, although the process could be expedited if developers manage to introduce products that elicit consumer demand.

“However, this perspective does not undermine the importance of efforts to influence US cryptocurrency policy. On the contrary, such endeavors are absolutely vital. Given the protracted timeframe required (in anticipation of re-entry), and considering that much of the world takes cues from the United States, it becomes evident that our progress in shaping policies hinges upon achieving global-scale product usage.”

The dYdX founder proceeds to emphasize that, with time, American citizens will come to realize that cryptocurrency is inherently aligned with US values and principles.

“The tenets of cryptocurrency closely align with American values. What concept could be more quintessentially American and reflective of capitalist ideals than a financial system conceived for the people, driven by the people, and answerable to the people? This, indeed, constitutes the very essence of our endeavor.”

Read Also: Bloomberg Analyst Mike McGlone Predicts Bitcoin Vulnerability in Economic Downturn

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to market risks, and individuals should seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

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Bloomberg Analyst Mike McGlone Predicts Bitcoin Vulnerability in Economic Downturn

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Bloomberg Intelligence’s senior macro strategist, Mike McGlone, is conveying a pessimistic outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) in the immediate future.

During a recent interview on Kitco News, McGlone underscored that Bitcoin is currently displaying bearish signals even amidst the ascent of other high-risk assets.

“In the event of a downturn, adhering to a rule prevalent in bear markets, resources across the board could witness a reduction in value, and Bitcoin will not be an exception.

A crucial observation is the necessity for Bitcoin to exhibit divergent strength at a certain juncture, akin to the behavior of treasury bonds and gold in a deflationary economic environment. Regrettably, this pattern has not materialized.

After attaining its peak towards the conclusion of Q1, reaching approximately $31,000, driven by optimism and the influence of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Bitcoin subsequently retraced to $25,000 or approximately $26,000. Presently, it is manifesting divergent weakness in contrast to the concurrent upsurge in the stock market.”

According to McGlone’s analysis, the ongoing “economic reset” implies a continuation of Bitcoin’s recent downward trend, although he anticipates that the premier cryptocurrency will ultimately attain a six-figure valuation.

“While I believe that Bitcoin will eventually achieve a valuation of $100,000, the onset of a global economic reset, as I anticipate, characterized by a standard deflationary recession leading to a decline in the housing and stock markets, analogous to the conditions of 2008—though arguably exacerbated due to the ongoing removal of liquidity from the system—Bitcoin’s role as an influential precursor comes to the forefront.

This underscores my point that Bitcoin has recently been taking on the role of a harbinger of trends. Its value ascended briefly to around $31,000, only to subsequently trend downwards. From my perspective, it serves as a leading indicator for a majority of high-risk assets.”

As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $26,079.

Read Also: Carbon Footprint of Proof-of-Work vs. Proof-of-Stake: A Comparative Analysis of Blockchain Consensus Mechanisms

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to market risks, and individuals should seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

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Lead Developer Announces Imminent Public Reopening of Shibarium

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Shiba Inu’s (SHIB) Latest Layer-2 Scaling Solution Nears Public Relaunch Following Recent Technical Challenges

Shytoshi Kusama, the enigmatic lead developer behind the SHIB project, has shared in a recent blog post that significant progress has been made in addressing the technical setbacks that temporarily halted the operation of Shibarium, SHIB’s new layer-2 scaling solution. The initial release of Shibarium encountered network issues that prompted its temporary closure. However, Kusama assured the community that diligent testing and parameter adjustments have led to notable improvements.

Kusama elaborated, stating, “After extensive testing and parameter refinements aimed at achieving a ‘ready’ status, Shibarium has undergone enhancements and optimization. While still undergoing testing, it is now successfully producing blocks.” Additionally, to prevent a recurrence of the past network overload, Kusama revealed the implementation of a new monitoring system and supplementary fail-safe measures. These include rate limiting at the RPC (remote procedure call) level and an automated server reset mechanism in the event of another surge in traffic.

With these advancements in place, the team is on the verge of reopening Shibarium to the public. As part of this progression, more network validators will be integrated into the ecosystem on August 23rd. Kusama emphasized the significance of this step, remarking, “Tomorrow, additional validators will become operational, expanding the options available for staking BONE. This will allow for a distribution of rewards earned through their roles within our community. As testing concludes, we will once again prepare for public utilization.”

Shibarium’s previous technical difficulties were attributed to an overwhelming influx of users and transactions during its initial launch. As of the current writing, SHIB is trading at $0.00000798, marking a 0.4% increase over the past 24 hours.

Read Also: Sam Bankman-Fried, Co-Founder of FTX, Files for Temporary Release from Incarceration

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to market risks, and individuals should seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

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Sam Bankman-Fried, Co-Founder of FTX, Files for Temporary Release from Incarceration

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FTX’s co-founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, is currently seeking a temporary release from incarceration. The purpose behind this endeavor is to engage in collaborative strategizing with his legal representatives within the confines of the federal courthouse situated in Manhattan.

In a formal letter dispatched to US District Judge Lewis Kaplan on a Friday, Bankman-Fried’s legal team expounded that their client’s capacity to effectively scrutinize the extensive legal documents pertaining to his case has been significantly curtailed during his time spent incarcerated at the Metropolitan Detention Center (MDC) in Brooklyn.

Christian Everdell, the attorney representing Bankman-Fried, divulged that the government recently disseminated a voluminous three-quarters of a million pages of Slack communications. These were originally due several months prior. Expressing the urgency of the situation, Everdell articulated, “Only last week did the government furnish an aggregate of approximately seven hundred and fifty thousand pages of Slack communications that were originally stipulated for release months ago. Given the current timeline, it is a futile endeavor for Mr. Bankman-Fried to endeavor to review these materials.”

He underlined the pivotal necessity for Bankman-Fried to collaborate meticulously with his legal team, emphasizing his dire need to avail himself of an internet-enabled laptop within the courthouse premises. Such a resource would undoubtedly expedite the process of comprehensive document review, an imperative undertaking in light of his impending fraud trial scheduled for the forthcoming October.

In riposte to Bankman-Fried’s plea for reprieve, the prosecuting body voiced apprehensions regarding his adherence to the prerequisites concerning his planned defense strategy. Notably, they underscored that Bankman-Fried is yet to furnish the complete gamut of essential information regarding the counsel upon which he predicated his actions.

The prosecutors proffered caution that unless Bankman-Fried promptly discloses the minutiae regarding the counsel he received and the provenance thereof, any attempt to interject such a defense during the trial should be summarily proscribed.

Although the prosecutors extended an offer to facilitate the transfer of documents onto hard drives for Bankman-Fried’s perusal within the MDC premises, a viable laptop-based solution was deemed unattainable. Initially, the notion of relocating Bankman-Fried to a more compact, upstate correctional facility where he could access an internet-enabled laptop was contemplated by the prosecutors. However, this proposal was met with resistance from prison officials.

Regarded for its starkly onerous conditions, the Metropolitan Detention Center has cultivated a notorious reputation among its inmate population.

Bankman-Fried’s Incarceration Stemming from Unsanctioned Internet Utilization

As documented, Judge Kaplan sanctioned the re-imprisonment of the beleaguered cryptocurrency luminary, citing alleged instances of witness tampering.

In that juncture, Judge Kaplan pronounced that a strong prima facie case existed indicating that the accused had endeavored to tamper with witnesses on no fewer than two separate occasions.

The decision was additionally influenced by Bankman-Fried’s unsanctioned use of the Internet while released on bail under the guardianship of his parents at their abode located in California.

Judge Kaplan discerned that Bankman-Fried had indulged in excessive communication with various individuals via electronic correspondence, even resorting to the utilization of a virtual private network.

Concurrently, the disgraced progenitor of FTX is simultaneously grappling with novel allegations brought forth by the Department of Justice (DOJ). These allegations encompass the misappropriation of customer deposits, including the purported embezzlement of said funds.

An indictment filed on the most recent Monday delineates that Bankman-Fried stands accused of diverting and embezzling customer deposits from the FTX platform. The illicitly obtained funds were purportedly channeled towards political campaign contributions, collectively amassing a substantial sum exceeding one hundred million dollars, in advance of the 2022 US midterm elections.

The indictment further posits that despite Bankman-Fried’s intimate knowledge of FTX’s fiscal insufficiencies, he continued to channel the purloined funds into personal investments, acquisitions, and political campaign contributions.

Read Also: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Nearing Appeal in Ripple Lawsuit's XRP Decision

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to market risks, and individuals should seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Nearing Appeal in Ripple Lawsuit’s XRP Decision

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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is taking significant steps towards pursuing an appeal in their recent legal battle against Ripple, indicating a potential shift in the course of the lawsuit.

James K. Filan, an experienced defense attorney specializing in crypto-related legal matters, has shed light on the latest developments. District Judge Analisa Torres has initiated a structured process for considering the SEC’s request to present an interlocutory appeal—a move that would allow the SEC to contest certain aspects of the ongoing case.

It’s important to note that this preliminary step does not guarantee the authorization of an interlocutory appeal; rather, it signifies that the SEC has been given the opportunity to formally request such an appeal.

Judge Torres has outlined the timeline for this process in her official order. The SEC is expected to file their motion for the appeal by August 18th. Subsequently, Ripple is given until September 1st to submit their opposition papers. If the SEC deems it necessary, they have until September 8th to file a reply.

The news of these developments had an immediate impact on the cryptocurrency market. Following the announcement of the judge’s order, the value of XRP experienced a sharp decline. The price, which had been trading at approximately $0.571, dropped to around $0.499 at the time of writing. This decrease of over 12% aligns with the broader trends observed across the cryptocurrency landscape.

The legal clash between the SEC and Ripple began when the regulatory agency filed a lawsuit against the San Francisco-based payments company in late 2020. The SEC alleged that Ripple had engaged in the sale of XRP without registering it as a security.

In a significant turn of events last month, Judge Torres issued a ruling that had mixed implications for both parties. She determined that Ripple’s automated programmatic sales of XRP, which occurred on the open market, could not be classified as securities offerings—a pivotal point of disagreement between the SEC and Ripple.

However, the judge did uphold a key aspect of the SEC’s argument. She agreed with the agency’s assertion that Ripple’s direct sales of XRP to institutional buyers indeed amounted to a securities offering, reinforcing the complexity of the case.

As the legal battle continues to unfold, the spotlight remains on the actions and responses of the SEC and Ripple, and how their ongoing dispute could shape the future regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies and digital assets.

Read Also: Helium (HNT), a cryptocurrency project built on the Solana blockchain, introduces its new mobile phone plan.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to market risks, and individuals should seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

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